Jean-Pierre Guengant and John F. May (2013):
Africa 2050: African Demography
Washington, DC: Centennial Group for Emerging Market Forum. 56 págs.
Texto completo disponible en línea en: http://horizon.documentation.ird.fr/exl-doc/pleins_textes/divers13-07/010059333.pdf
This paper will first stress the importance of the demographic factor in the development process and outline a demographic vision for 2050. The paper will then examine the past and current demographic situation of the African continent. Next, the paper will present the UN population (2010) and urbanization (2011) projections for Africa and examine the results of their different assumptions in terms of social development and dependency ratios. Finally, the paper will conclude with a set of necessary steps and recommendations to achieve the demographic vision set initially.